News Archive

News Archive

Chinese purchases direct from the orchards are having a disasterous impact on the Pecan market

December 16, 2009

This past Friday, as expected, the USDA reduced their estimate of the 2009 Pecan Crop to 301.2 million pounds (inshell basis) from their previous estimate of 309.2 million pounds.  Based on current projections, this is how the supply situation shapes up:

Nut Market Update

October 27, 2009


The USDA released the first of their three 2009 Crop Estimates

October 12, 2009

The USDA released the first of their 2009 Pecan Crop estimates this past Friday estimating the crop to be 309.2 million pounds (inshell basis).  If this figure is correct, when one combines it with an estimated 2008 carryout of 85 million pounds and the140 million pounds of Mexican inshell that is expected to cross the border, total supply can be expected to be somewhere in the neighborhood of 534 million pounds. With consumption currently running between 415 and 435 million pounds, this will leave approximately 110 million pounds to carry into the 2010 'off-year' crop.  For a significant part of the current crop year, the industry has experienced a shortage of Mammoth, Jr.

Pecan Crop Update

September 15, 2009

The National Pecan Sheller's Association completed their semi-annual meeting this past weekend with their estimate of the 2009 Pecan Crop.  Based on their member estimates, they expect the 2009 US Pecan crop to be around 347 million pounds (inshell basis).  Should the crop come in as they project, the supply situation could shape up as follows (figures are millions of pounds inshell):


Nut Market Update

July 16, 2009


Pecan Market Update

July 14, 2009

Today the Texas Pecan Growers concluded their annual meeting with their estimate of the 2009 Pecan Crop.  As usual, estimates were provided by both Kenneth Pape and Kyle Brookshier.  Based on their figures, the supply situation could shape up as follows:

Pecan Market Update

June 23, 2009

This past Friday, June 19, 2009, the Tri-State (Louisiana, Mississippi and Arkansas) Pecan Producer's Association concluded their annual meeting with the first crop estimate of the season.  While it is still very early in the growing cycle, and while the estimates provided for several of the states could be debated, the overall estimate of 299 million pounds is certainly in line with what many within the industry expected to see.  When one considers the larger than average size of the previous two crops, the potential damage caused by the April freeze in East Texas and the copious amounts of rain that have fallen in the Southeast, it is hard to argue with the current estimate.  As stated in the April Pecan Crop Update, since 1990, the average 'on-year' crop has been approximately 329 mi

While there was a large inshell dissappearance in March, don't expect prices to go through the roof.

April 24, 2009

Based on the March Cold Storage holdings, it would appear that consumption is running well ahead of expectations.  The March release showed an overall decline in the Cold Storage figures of over 19 million pounds (inshell basis), well ahead of historical figures for the same period.

Nut Market Update

January 23, 2009


The USDA released their final estimate for the 2008 Pecan crop today. Based on currently available information, the total supply for

2008/2009 shapes up as follows:

2008 Carry in (44% conversion rate) 186,570,000
2008 US Crop (estimate) 191,080,000
2007 Mexican Imports (estimate**) 100,000,000
2008/2009 Total Supply (estimate) 477,650,000

** The Mexican Import figure is estimated based on FAS Mexico import data and does not take into account any double counting of US crop sent to Mexico for shelling then returned for processing.